The Dallas Mavericks are slight 1.5-point favorites for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks hold a 2-0 lead in the series. The matchup has a point total of 208.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds
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Mavericks and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Mavericks have a 29-17 record against the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more.
The Timberwolves have a 10-7 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.
These two teams average 230.9 points per game combined, 22.9 more than the over/under of 208.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 222.1 points per game, 14.1 more than the over/under in this matchup.
The average over/under the Mavericks have had in their matchups this season is 25.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average total in Minnesota’s games this season is 11.5 more points than the point total of 208 for this outing.
Dallas is 48-34-0 against the spread this season.
The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this season.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks’ +181 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.9 points per game (seventh in the NBA) while giving up 115.6 per outing (20th in the league).
The 42.9 rebounds per game the Mavericks average rank 21st in the league, and are 2.2 fewer than the 45.1 their opponents grab per contest.
Dallas makes 1.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 14.6 (third-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.
The Mavericks average 118.4 points per 100 possessions (10th in the league), while allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions (17th in the NBA).
The Mavericks have scored at a higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2023-24 season (118.7 at home versus 117.0 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than away from home (115.0 opponent points per home game versus 116.2 on the road).
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game (posting 113.0 points per game, 18th in league, and allowing 106.5 per contest, first in NBA) and have a +529 scoring differential.
Minnesota grabs 43.6 rebounds per game (15th in league) while allowing 41.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
The Timberwolves connect on 1.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 12.6 (15th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.4.
The Timberwolves’ 116.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 16th in the NBA, and the 109.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank first in the league.
At home Minnesota is putting up 112.0 points per game, 2.0 fewer points than it is averaging on the road (114.0).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic accumulates 33.9 points and 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.
Doncic makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.1 per contest.
Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford has 2.1 blocks per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards pours in 25.9 points per game. He also adds 5.4 rebounds per outing and 5.1 assists per contest.
This season, Rudy Gobert is averaging 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.
Edwards knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
The Timberwolves’ defensive efforts get a boost from Edwards (1.3 steals per game) and Gobert (2.1 blocks per game).
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (208)
Timberwolves 113 – Mavericks 112
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